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June 2021

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The first, second, and now third waves of the coronavirus pandemic appear to be indefinite. As life returns to normal following the deadly second wave, the threat of a third wave looms large. But the question is whether it can be avoided.

So, what are we to do?   India’s vaccination not fast enough to foil Covid-19 3rd wave: Report According to a prediction model developed by researchers at the Indian Institute of Technology-Kanpur, a possible third wave of the Covid-19 pandemic in India is likely, peaking between September and October this year, assuming India fully unlocks by 15 July.

In the worst-case scenario, daily cases could reach over 5 lakh in September, according to the team. However, the prediction model does not account for the impact of vaccinations in India, which the researchers believe will have a significant impact on breaking the chain of transmission.

The IIT Kanpur team, led by professors Rajesh Ranjan and Mahendra Verma, constructed three scenarios of a possible third wave using data from the second wave in India using the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model — an epidemiological model that computes the theoretical number of people infected with a contagious illness in a closed population over time.

The team predicts that the third wave will peak in October in the first scenario, in which restrictions are lifted. This peak height, however, will be lower than that of the second wave. At its peak, 3.2 lakh cases will be recorded per day.  

 

Covid safety protocols For 3rd Wave

You must follow the below instructions in order to keep safe yourself and your family.

Wear a mask

  • Everyone over the age of two should wear masks in public.
  • Masks should be worn in addition to maintaining a distance of at least 6 feet, especially when around people who do not live with you.
  • If someone in your household is infected, everyone in the house should take precautions, such as wearing masks, to avoid spreading the infection to others.
  • Before putting on your mask, wash your hands or use hand sanitizer.
  • Put your mask over your nose and mouth and tuck it under your chin.
  • Slip the loops over your ears or tie the strings behind your head to fit the mask snugly against the sides of your face.
  • Make sure you can breathe easily.

Masks are required on planes, buses, trains, and other forms of public transportation flying into, within, or out of the United States, as well as at transportation hubs such as airports and train stations. In outdoor areas of a conveyance, passengers are not required to wear a mask (like on a ferry or the top deck of a bus). The CDC recommends that travellers who have not been fully vaccinated continue to wear masks and keep a physical distance when travelling.  

👉 Stay 6 feet away from others

👉 Get Vaccinated

👉 Avoid crowds and poorly ventilated spaces

👉 Wash your hands often

👉 Cover coughs and sneezes

👉 Clean and disinfect

👉 Monitor your health daily

Dr Randeep Guleria, Director of AIIMS Delhi, told ANI that Covid-19 cases have been reduced and that the mistake of not strictly adhering to COVID protocols, made after the first wave, should not be repeated. He went on to list three things that must be done immediately if we are to avoid it.

 

3 things to avoid the third wave of Covid-19

Dr. Guleria stated that appropriate behaviour, good surveillance, and vaccination are critical to avoiding the third wave of COVID, and that virus mutation is a concern. He stated that if we do these three things, we will be able to avoid a third wave by either not having one, delaying it, or having a very small peak.

In an interview with ANI, he stated that we must recognise that the virus is still present and mutating. It is becoming a source of concern.

Doctor VK Paul of Niti Aayog also reminded people that if COVID appropriate behaviour is followed and the majority of people are vaccinated, a third wave can be avoided.

“How can there be a third wave if we follow COVID Appropriate Behaviour and get vaccinated? There are many countries where the second wave has not yet arrived; if we follow COVID guidelines, this period will pass,” V. K. Paul had stated.